DAUDIT
The cognitive audit

See the side you’re missing

Every decision has a side you can’t see from where you’re standing. Bring one — and see it before you commit.

Free, and anonymous. The full audit needs an account so the record persists.

The Decision RoomBefore the audit

A space before the decision.

Not an audit — a quiet conversation to feel what you’re carrying before your next Decision Audit.

EvidenceWhat the read rests on

Every finding, traceable to the line that produced it.

Nothing asserted without the sentence it came from.

FINDING
OutcomesResolved forecasts

How well your confidence matched what actually happened.

Lower is better. It says nothing about whether a decision was wise.

FORECASTOUTCOME
The RecordLocked at close

The findings, rendered as structure.

One core tension, five dimensions, and the distance between what you wrote and what you chose.

LOCKED
You’ve Been Here BeforeForming

A rhyme with a call that didn’t work.

Drawn from a record only you have — forming until there is enough to be specific.

THENNOW
MarketsPositions

The price you will actually pay.

Prediction markets and event contracts, audited before you commit.

ENTRY 16.0¢
02The why

The most expensive mistakes don’t start with bad execution. They start with a decision that felt right — examined alone, under pressure, with no instrument that will tell you what you’re missing.

Examining a decision before you commit is the mark of judgment, not indecision.

€50–150K
Wrong executive hire

The direct cost of one wrong executive hire — before the team it costs you and the year it takes.

One
Unexamined assumption

A single unexamined belief is usually the whole reason a confident decision quietly fails.

Alone
At the worst moment

The bigger the decision, the fewer people you can talk it through with openly — exactly when you need that most.

04The puzzle, shown — not told

One sentence in. One question asked. One gap named.

DAUDIT reads your sentence, asks one question only you can answer, then names the distance between what you wrote and what you chose. Here is that loop, as it actually renders.

What you said

I'm promoting Dara to VP. She's been here since the start, and if I bring someone in over her she'll leave.

One question

If she would stay either way, is she still the person you would pick?

What stands between the two

You wrote a promotion. You chose a search. Between them sits a standard you have not said out loud.

The distance between them is yours to keep — and the next loop is chosen by what the last one revealed.

05The how(5)

Five dimensions. One core tension. The same discipline, every time.

DAUDIT examines every decision across the five places high-stakes choices reliably go wrong — then names the real question underneath the one you brought.

World Model Gaps
Adversarial Risk
Theory of Mind
Decision State
Confidence vs Evidence
06Seen, not just read

The findings, rendered as structure.

Sample audit · closeStrategic

“Promoting an early employee into a VP role with no prior management experience”

Core tension

You asked who’s ready for the title. The real decision is whether you’re promoting loyalty, not capability — and who else is watching.

World Model Gaps

Management capability is inferred from tenure as an IC — two different skills.

Adversarial Risk

Passing them over after they’ve hinted at leaving optimizes retention this quarter over fit for the next two years.

Decision State

Loyalty and convenience are doing work a capability assessment should do.

Decision State
Where this decision sits
Narrow focusBalanced readMany signals active
low entropyhigh entropy

Loyalty and convenience are narrowing what’s actually being weighed

Horizontal axis: cognitive entropy — how many mental networks are active at once (left = narrow focus, right = many signals competing). The marker is placed from this audit’s Decision State read, not a separate model.

Illustrative output — the live product renders your actual conversation this way at close.See a finished record
07The part that compounds

This score measures one thing: how well your confidence matched what actually happened.

Lower is better. It says nothing about whether a decision was wise — only whether you knew what you knew. Every audit you save feeds a record only you have. Over time, How you decide and You’ve Been Here Before draw from it — forming until there is enough to be specific.

Decision 1
0.31
Forecast score
From 1 resolved forecasts. Few forecasts, wide uncertainty.
First audit. One blind spot you'd have walked past.
Decision 8
0.24
Forecast score
From 8 resolved forecasts. Few forecasts, wide uncertainty.
Where confidence runs ahead of evidence — How you decide is still forming.
Decision 20
0.19
Forecast score
From 20 resolved forecasts. Few forecasts, wide uncertainty.
You've Been Here Before may notice a rhyme with a call that didn't work — forming, not proven.

Illustrative — not real user data

08Who it’s for(4)

Built for decisions that don’t have an undo button.

Founders, investors, operators — and anyone at a crossroads they cannot undo. The few choices each year where a blind spot is expensive.

Founders

The hire, the pivot, the raise, the co-founder split — the calls that define the next two years.

Investors

The check you can't un-write. Conviction, pressure-tested — and over time, a calibration record of your own.

Operators

The irreversible move where one unexamined assumption costs a quarter and a reputation.

Life crossroads

Care, relocation, a relationship you cannot un-choose — examined with the same rigor as a term sheet.

Decisions audited
Median Brier, 10+ audits
Return for a 2nd audit

Real numbers will appear here once they’re real — not before.

Bring one decision. See what you’re missing.

The first loop is free and anonymous. The full audit needs an account so the record persists.