Capital Decisions
Investing, hiring, fundraising, exits, strategy — the decisions where sunk cost, thesis drift, and wanting the deal too much distort judgment.
Decision debt is charging interest while you wait
Unresolved decisions behave like financial debt. Avoidance, framing mistakes, and fake ownership keep charging — in time, cash, trust, and founder attention — until someone names the decision and pays it down.
ReadThe lower price is not a thesis
Entry-side loss aversion makes a declining price feel like evidence. It is often just a number that learned your name — without a target, a thesis, or an exit you would actually take.
ReadThe hire you've already decided to make
Confirmation-seeking in hiring starts before the interview — when the candidate becomes the only one who chose you back. What an audit asks that a scorecard never will.
ReadWhat a bad executive hire actually costs
The salary is the smallest line. Here is the real arithmetic of getting one senior hire wrong — and the cheapest point at which it could have been caught.
ReadThe price on the screen is not the price you pay
A Polymarket contract shows one number. You fill at another. The gap between them — spread, slippage, and a fee schedule most traders have never read — is a cost that is entirely computable and almost never computed.
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